Opta releases Ligue 1 forecast for the new season: Paris has too big advantage, and the league suspense is the same as no

Before the opening of the new season's Ligue 1 game and the start of Rennes vs. Marseille on August 16, opta also released various detailed predictions for the new season of the Ligue 1 league as usual.

Of course, it is well known that due to the existence of the super giant Paris Saint-Germain and the current peak period in Paris, the Ligue 1 in the 25/26 season is still the five most popular leagues.

Opta released the Ligue 1 rankings, comprehensive forecasts for the championship and the top four & relegated teams

Leeds, 78.7%

2, Lille, 18.4%

3, Monaco, 15.2%

4, Marseille, 12.9%

5, Lyon, 11%

6, Nice, 9.6%

From this prediction for ranking, it is not difficult to see that although the Ligue 1 has not started yet, a fact that everyone knows is: it seems that even if Paris plays 5-6 less rounds of the league, it seems that the league championship is difficult to win by other teams.

After all, Paris last season won the championship with a huge advantage of 19 points ahead of the second place with a record of 84 points. In the 23/24 season, which was also in the 34-game system, Paris also led the second place by 9 points at the time.

So, the theme and suspense of the new season of Ligue 1 may still be the same as usual: there is no suspense in the first place anyway, but who is the second best team in the league? Perhaps Marseille and Monaco can still compete for it!

Champion Champions League predictions

1, Paris, 78.7%

2, Lille, 5.5%

3, Monaco, 4.2%

4, Marseille & Lyon, 3.4%

6, Strasbourg, 1.1%

are also predictions from opta. Among the top three Liverpool, Arsenal and Manchester City, the probability of winning the championship is 28.5%, 24.3% and 18.8% respectively. At least, this is still a situation where the world is "three points"; and in the championship predictions for La Liga teams, Barcelona's 46.5% and Real Madrid's 32.1% are still considered to be a limited gap.

But what about Ligue 1? A team's prediction for winning the championship is even close to 80%! In 15/16 and the past two seasons, Paris won the final league championship with only two league losses.

Perhaps, Paris won the Ligue 1 championship in the new season, and whether it can win the cup with an unbeaten result may be a greater suspense!

The top four predictions

1, Paris, 96.2%

2, Lille, 38.6%

3, Monaco, 35.3%

4, Lyon, 30.5%

5, Marseille, 30.1%

6, Strasbourg, 14.5%

The new season of Ligue 1 will have three teams participating in the Champions League (Nice was defeated by Benfica in the qualifying round), and if you want to qualify for the 26/27 season, it means that Ligue 1 teams need to get the top four league rankings to be qualified for the competition.

Judging from the predictions given by opta alone, Lille, Monaco and Lyon and Marseille are undoubtedly more likely options behind Paris.

Relegation team forecast

1, Metz, 32.5%

2, Paris FC, 31.6%

3, Lorient, 31%

4, Le Havre, 30.8%

5, Angers, 24%

6, Nantes, 18.4%

Opta, 24/25 Ligue 1 forecast: In fact, it is exactly the same as this year, and the probability of winning the championship before the start of Paris is close to 80%!

At the same time last year, opta released its predictions for the 24/25 season Ligue 1. Judging from the situation at that time, the situation where Paris has no opponents has been fully reflected - although Paris lost its team's number one star Mbappe in the summer of 2024, its overall strength still gave them 79% of the predicted support.

So, it can only be said that perhaps this year's opta has even lowered its expectations for Paris, 78.7%, down 0.3% compared to last season.

But what's wrong with this? If there are even different predictions from SCORE 90 in the other five European leagues, Paris, which has no highlights at all, even lacks the fun of this prediction at the media level.

Then, if you want to re-inspire the outside world's attention to Ligue 1, you may only look forward to whether Paris can achieve a miracle of unbeaten 34 games in the new season and win the championship!