The first round of Premier League observation: Big ships are hard to turn around, the transformation season of giants, the reshaping of the pattern in the next three years

Many people underestimate the influence of the Premier League this season. Many small and medium-sized Premier League teams have encountered financial difficulties in this game, while the Premier League giants are facing transformation. At least you can see from the signings in the summer window that Arsenal needs to solve the problem of rare goals, Liverpool needs to get rid of Salah's dependence, Manchester City needs to solve the system problems in the post-De Bruyne era, and Tottenham sent captain Son Heung-min away.

The top five teams in the Premier League last season all encountered a certain degree of tactical transformation. In addition, Tottenham + Manchester United were facing reconstruction last season at 1314. The situation in the new Premier League season is actually more chaotic than everyone imagined. When you face a tactical transformation, it means that you may suffer a certain degree of impact in the future season. Therefore, the final results of this season's Premier League will be influential in the next 2 or 3 years of Premier League.

The sequelae of last season: offense, offense or offense

The league relies on offense and cup defense, which is actually not a fool, but a rule of football. From the previous season, seven teams scored 70 goals in the season, to the last season only Liverpool + Manchester City scored 70 goals, what happened in the middle? It's very simple, Premier League teams are getting better at intensive defense.

We often say that the Premier League is a strong and fast-paced league, which is directly reflected in the speed of counterattack and the speed of ball rights exchange. Cracking dense defense is a necessary skill for any strong team. When Arsenal's ribs penetrated and the passing route of the inverted triangle long post was blocked, Arsenal won 14 draws.

When Manchester City's rib penetration route was blocked, Manchester City could only get third in the Premier League, because Manchester City lost the ball at the front of the opponent's penalty area, and there were many scenes of being beaten to counterattack. The same is true for Manchester United and Tottenham. They position themselves as strong teams and want to attack strongly, but once the attack is weak, there are also scenes of being counterattacked by the opponent.

So what should I do? If you strengthen your defense, you must sacrifice your offensive ability, and the root problems have not been solved yet. Therefore, the choice of Premier League teams is: strengthen offense and strengthen the front line. Only two teams scored more than 70 goals last season. Not only Manchester United and Tottenham Hotspur, but also Arsenal and Newcastle, and even Manchester City and Liverpool. Manchester City and Liverpool hope to return to the era of scoring 90 goals in the season.

Liverpool: Will Sophomo become a victim?

In the first round, Liverpool defeated Bournemouth 4-2, and new players Ekitic + Wilz made their appearance. On the surface, Liverpool has a 424 offensive structure, but considering that both Liverpool's wingbacks have offensive attributes, Liverpool's offensive routines are strong and defense are weak. Liverpool's idea of signing is: Ekitic + Wilz attacks in the penalty area, Garkepo and Salah try more to pass or cross from the ribs, thereby reducing Salah's unilateral dependence. This is something that Klopp has always wanted to do during the period but has not been able to accomplish. Before

, Liverpool used Salah + Arnold to frequently dispatch the pass. Now Arnold is missing a pass point. Flynnon is a very good assaulter, not a pass point, so Liverpool must add another exit point and a contact point in the middle. This point is currently Sobo. As for whether there can be new tactical changes after Gravenberg returns to the team after he recovers from injury, we will wait and see.

Arsenal: Thomas' sequelae

Arsenal's biggest change is not the front line, but the midfield. After Thomas left, Arsenal used Zubimendi as a midfielder. Zubimendi is good at scheduling and organization, and Thomas is good at confrontational coverage. Two different midfielders will inevitably have an impact on Arsenal's system. At least from the preseason and the first round of Arsenal's 1-0 Manchester United game, Arsenal's shortcomings in the double center back began to change.

Arsenal scored fewer goals than Manchester City, but the league ranking was higher than Manchester City. Last season, Arsenal's defense was better than Manchester City because there were not so many goals conceded by counterattacks. But once Arsenal is weakened, Manchester City's difficulties last season will be in front of Arsenal. Look at Manchester United's 0-1 Arsenal game. How many times did Manchester United directly rush to Arsenal's midfielder and use a straight pass to hit behind Arsenal's double center back?

Premier League teams are very good at imitating. When someone starts to suppress Arsenal with tactics, other teams will definitely imitate it. So can Arsenal make appropriate changes? Let's wait and see. If it fails, Arsenal will not have many backup plans.

Manchester City: From large lineup to small lineup

For Manchester City in the new season, the more worthy of observation is the locker room. Manchester City's tactical system has always been a continuation. They do not have the problem of tactical transformation. Tactical changes are also adjustments to details, rather than changes in the general direction. Manchester City in the new season is more stable than Liverpool and Arsenal, and they are confident enough. After all, this is how they have made several tactical transformations. The problem with Manchester City is from large lineup to small lineup. I am particularly concerned about one thing about Manchester City: in the season when Manchester City won the triple-champion, there were only 18 first-team players in all competitions, plus several youth training players. Guardiola has explained this: it is easier to rotate. To put it bluntly, Manchester City's player attributes belong to: diverse positions and everyone has the ability to start.

So, Manchester City can conduct a larger rotation to ensure that every player in the locker room has a stable playing time. But this is not the case in the new season. Manchester City spent 300 million pounds on the winter and summer windows to sign and strengthen, but there are actually not many players leaving the team. Guardiola said after Manchester City's 4-0 Wolves that he hopes to solve the huge lineup problem before the transfer window ends.

Newcastle: The signings that hit the walls all over the place won the top four in the Premier League last season, but Newcastle is still very anxious, it is very simple: no main player has been won by three transfer windows. In other words, Newcastle's main lineup has not changed much. This summer window, it has hit a wall everywhere. Finally, it has won an Ellanga, but it still has a premium signing. Newcastle expressed dissatisfaction with Manchester United through media talks: Manchester United's premium signing of Cunha has ruined the market (Manchester United won Cunha with a severance fee of 62.5 million pounds).

Now there are still problems with Newcastle's signings, and Isaac's problems broke out again, and Isaac insists on going to Liverpool. Newcastle drew 0-0 with Villa in the first round of the Premier League. They used Gordon to play center. If it was not handled well, there might be problems with the locker room where Newcastle unites.

Villa: Relegation of strength is inevitable

The previous season entered the top four and qualified for the Europa League last season. Villa has always been the top six in the Premier League. The biggest reliance of any mid- and downstream club to transform into a strong team is to continue to participate in the Champions League, and while obtaining broadcast income, it will gradually move closer to the strong team. However, if you want to participate in the Champions League, the first priority is to invest a lot, and many clubs are falling on this level. What is the problem with

Vera? Salary expenditure accounts for 94% of the total income. You have invested a lot and achieved results in two seasons. But the problem now is: not qualifying for the Champions League last season means that your income has weakened by tens of millions, and your sponsorship income has not yet increased, Villa's financial problems have become tens of thousands of yuan. Therefore, Villa can only sell players to relieve stress, and even sell high-paying players such as Watkins and Martinez. Villa's actual downgrade is inevitable.

Manchester United: A gamble for 190 million strikers

For Manchester United in the new season, there is no problem of tactical transformation, because Manchester United collapsed last season, and it is easy to move from bottom to top, and it is more difficult to keep strong. So Manchester United has no burden in the new season, and the only burden is financial problems. Manchester United is indecisive in the summer window. In order to express a break with the past, Manchester United put Garnacho, Rashford, Sancho, Anthony and other players on the shelves before the summer window began.

Then, Manchester United won Cunha + Mbeumo + Cesco with a lot of money. These players are willing to give up the opportunity to go to the Champions League team to help Manchester United rebuild. This is Manchester United's appeal. In fact, you can also understand that the players are also buying at the bottom. After all, the value brought by helping Manchester United rebuild is far higher than going to the Champions League team. Manchester United does not have a problem of tactical transformation in the new season, but a problem of how to implement tactics.