289 Sports > Football > Premier League forecast: Forest 21/10 Blues, Manchester United 02 Villa, Liverpool 33/32 Water, Thorn 22 Seagulls
Premier League forecast: Forest 21/10 Blues, Manchester United 02 Villa, Liverpool 33/32 Water, Thorn 22 Seagulls
At 23:00 on May 25, all ten games in the 38th round of the Premier League in the 24/25 season will be started at the same time. In this round of Premier League, the biggest highlight is undoubtedly the match between five teams that are qualified for the Champions League. After all, in the case where most of the suspense in the Premier League has been finalized, who can represent the Premier League in the next season's Champions League, which is the only topic on the last match day.
According to the practice, before the game starts, let’s take a look at the predictions from British media (people) and data institutions, and hope to become a weather vane for this round of league!
Opta Probability Prediction
Bornemouth vs Leicester: 66.9%-18%-15.1%
Fulham vs Manchester City: 21.2%-23.2%-55.6%
Ipswich vs West Ham: 33.5%-24.5%-42%
Liverpool vs Crystal Palace: 62.9%-17.9%-19.2%
Manchester United vs Aston Villa: 24.9%-23.3%-51.8%
Newcastle vs Everton: 67.5%-17.8%-14.7%
Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea: 31%-24.9%-44.1%
Southampton vs Arsenal: 12.7%-18.2%-69.1%
Tottenham Hotspur vs Brighton: 28.6%-23%-48.4%
Wolves vs Brentford: 35.6%-24.3%-40.1%
Media forecast: Sky Sports (TV sports expert Louis Jones)
Nottingham Forest 1-0 Chelsea
In the last day of the Champions League, Chelsea is the weak side. Given Nottingham Forest's weaknesses away and winning only one of their last 10 Premier League games, this is a great spot for them; this season, criticism of Maresca has focused mainly on the predictability of Chelsea's matches, which is even more obvious if Jacquesson is excluded, as he can indeed bring some surprises and directness to Chelsea's offense. Therefore, Forest's two defenders, Mirenkovic and Murillo, are expected to win the opponent cleanly again.
If relegated teams are excluded, only Brentford and West Ham conced more goals at home than Forest.
Liverpool 3-3 Crystal Palace
In the last 10 seasons, the last round of the Premier League has averaged 3.41 goals per game, of which 87% of the games have scored more than 1.5 goals and 65% of the games have scored more than 2.5 goals. In these 10 years, the average number of goals scored in the last round was 0.6 more than the total average. This is a huge increase.
In a stress-free environment, the team is more likely to play more freely. Offensive football dominated. So the scores in such a game are crazy.
And, do you still remember the 2019 Crystal Palace 5-3 Bournemouth game? Or the 2018 Tottenham Hotspurs Hotspur 5-4 Leicester game? Is there any 2017 Hull City 1-7 Tottenham Hotspur match? There is also Southampton, who was relegated last season, draws Liverpool 4-4.
Manchester United 0-2 Aston Villa
Villa's final battle this season is like a championship contender, and this game is a godsend opportunity for them. You can't find a host who is more enthusiastic than this.
Emery trained Villa very well. They have won seven of their last eight Premier League games, and their only loss was a goal conceded in the last minute away against Manchester City. The team's overall offensive system during this period is the best in the entire league, especially in terms of defense, where they have 0.85 expected goals conceded per 90 minutes.
And Manchester United is destined to meet the lowest ranking since it was promoted to the top league in 1975!
Newcastle 3-0 Everton
Newcastle can advance if you win one game. If Forest tied with Chelsea. Or if Villa didn't win, then 1 point is enough.
Eddie Howe's team performed reliably at home, winning all the last 6 games at St James Park and scoring 20 goals. If they win this game, it will be their highest points (41 points) and most wins in the Premier League since 2003.
Fulham 1-1 Manchester City
Manchester City only won one away game in the top 12 teams, which was a 2-0 away victory over Chelsea. Fulham's home record against the top 9 teams currently in the season is impressive, winning five of 8 games.
Considering that Manchester City surpassed Villa in goal difference, 1 point is enough to get them to the Champions League.
Tottenham Hotspur 2-2 Brighton
Tottenham Hotspur has certainly lost 21 of 37 Premier League games, but for them now, the outcome may not be very important! For Postkoglu, this game may be more important than the market predicts.
Brighton doesn't need to win this game. He can finish 8th with just one point, but Brighton's defense has conceded 16 goals in the past eight games and is expected to concede 1.8 goals per game, which is close to the brink of relegation.
Bornemouth 5-1 Leicester
Incredible, Bournemouth has scored more than one goal in one of its last 13 home games, which is enough to illustrate why they have failed to make it to European football. However, judging from the expected number of goals, their performance is really bad. Bournemouth has only scored 13 goals in the past 13 games, while the expected number of goals is 21.8.
This match they may bring these indicators closer and give Fox City some blow.
Ipswich 2-3 West Ham
Ipswich has been unable to make progress in the League One and the Championship, but it was disappointing in the end.
Southampton 0-3 Arsenal
Wolves 2-3 Brentford
After losing to Crystal Palace 2-4, we saw clips of Pereira's unabashed criticism of the players in public. He has achieved some impressive results since joining, but people still doubt he can control his irritable character and ensure his tenure will be effective for the long term.
So, it's hard to imagine how Wolves could stop Brentford from scoring multiple goals in this game.
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