[Five major leagues of Pearl Egg] [Full points] [Premier League] Nottingham VS West Ham United [Premier League] Villa VS Crystal Palace [La Liga] Vallecano VS Barcelona

012 [Premier League] Nottingham VS West Ham United

The third round of the Premier League will be held at 21:00 on August 31 at Nottingham Forest City Stadium. The home team Nottingham Forest started the new season with a steady start, with 1 win and 1 draw in two league games, and temporarily ranked fifth in the standings. Although he averaged only 0.67 goals per game on the offensive end, his performance of conceding only 0.5 goals on the defensive end is one of the best defense lines in the Premier League. It is worth noting that the team's unbeaten rate in the last 6 home games has reached 83%, but its winning rate is only 17%, exposing the problem of insufficient finishing ability.

The away team West Ham United fell into a downturn, losing both games in the new season and ranking at the bottom, conceding as many as 4 goals per game. However, his away performance is not without highlights. His winning rate in his last 6 away games has reached 50%, and his offensive efficiency is better than that of his opponents per game. The team just experienced a 1-5 defeat to Chelsea, but had previously defeated Manchester United in an upset manner and its condition showed obvious fluctuations.

Historical confrontations and tactical games

In the last 6 confrontations, Nottingham Forest has an absolute advantage with 4 wins and 2 losses, including last season's home and away double defeats West Ham United (3-0, 2-0). It is worth noting that West Ham United has remained unbeaten against Nottingham in the last 8 home games (7 wins and 1 draw), with 5 of them narrowly winning 3-2, highlighting their psychological advantages when playing at home.

Tactical level, Nottingham Forest is expected to continue the 4231 formation, relying on midfield strangling and rapid counterattack to create threats, but the front-line efficiency problem needs to be solved; West Ham United may adopt a 442 formation to find opportunities through crosses and set pieces, but loopholes in the defense may be targeted by the opponent. In terms of key players, Nottingham Forest's Wood (scoring 2 goals against West Ham United last season) and West Ham United's Bowen (the only stable scoring point recently) will directly affect the game trend.

Score prediction and key factors

Comprehensive data, this game presents three key points:

Defensive stability comparison: Nottingham Forest Steel Defense Line (lost 0.5 goals per game) and West Ham United's fragile defense (lost 4 goals per game);

Psychological advantages: Nottingham Forest has had the advantage in the confrontation in recent years, but we need to be wary of the potential threat of opponents' home rebound;

Fighting intention difference: West Ham United urgently needs to win the first victory to restore morale, and Nottingham Forest is expected to continue its unbeaten momentum and impact the higher ranking.

In this game, Pidan is optimistic that Nottingham will successfully play at home

Age: 21.10

036 [Premier League] Villa VS Crystal Palace

Comparison of the game background and recent state

Aston Villa has a balanced offense and defense under Emery's coach. He has achieved 4 wins and 2 losses in the last 6 games, and has averaged 2.3 goals per game, but there are fluctuations on the defensive end (conceding 1.5 goals per game). Crystal Palace has been in a state of ups and downs recently, with a league winning rate of only 17%, but has strong home performance (67% home winning rate in the last 6), and has a clear intention to fight in the FA Cup. In the historical confrontation between the two teams, Crystal Palace has had a psychological advantage in the last five matches, including a key battle of 4-1 victory over Villa at home in February 2025.

tactical system and key player analysis

Aston Villa

advantages: Watkins's front line is efficient, and McKinn and Douglas Louis' midfield scheduling capabilities can quickly change offensive and defensive rhythms.

Hidden danger: The away defense is insufficient, conceded 6 goals in the last 6 away games, and the consumption of the Champions League in the mid-week may affect physical fitness.

Crystal Palace

Advantages: Zaha and Oris have strong breakthrough ability on the wing, and the success rate of counterattacks with home fans has been significantly improved.

Shortcoming: Defensive line injuries are serious (Dukure, Riad and other main players are absent), and they are prone to make mistakes in the face of high-pressure pressing.

Crystal Palace's two-game crush failed to get the tendency to get data. Today's game is dedicated to treating stubborn species.

In this game, Pidan is optimistic that Villa will play at home

Age: 10.21

040 [La Liga] Vallecano vs. Barcelona

Barcelona continues the tradition of passing and controlling football this season. Under Xavi's training, the team's tactical system is more mature. The record of winning all the first two rounds of the new season demonstrated strong dominance. Lewandowski's joining significantly improved the efficiency of the front line. The Polish forward scored three goals in two games, and cooperated with the trident composed of Rafinia and Yamal. In the midfield, despite Pedri's injury, the combination of Garvey and Cassado can still maintain a high ball possession rate, especially at creating murderous intent through rib penetration. On the defensive end, Araujo led the defense line averaged less than 1 goal per game, and Kong De's assist on the right became the highlight of the new tactical strategy. It is worth noting that Barcelona's winning rate is as high as 78% when playing at home, and the ground conduction system of Camp Nou can often suppress the opponent.

Vallecano is based in La Liga with pragmatic defense and counter-tactics, and his score of 1 win and 1 draw in the new season was temporarily ranked sixth, exceeding expectations. When the team adopts a 4-2-3-1 formation, the midfield strangling ability is particularly outstanding. Florian Legener and Unai Lopez's double midfield combination averaged 12 interceptions per game. The offensive end relies on Alvaro Garcia's wing blast and De Vrutos' organizational connection, but the overall goal conversion rate is relatively low, with only 9.3 shots per game. The team's biggest advantage on the defensive end, ranking third in La Liga in the 23-round league goals, and goalkeeper Augusto Batalia's save success rate is as high as 82%. However, when facing strong teams away, the team often counterattacks because of the full-back pressure, leaving gaps. Previously, they had conceded three goals in a row against Real Madrid. It is worth noting that Vallecano has remained unbeaten against Barcelona in the last three home games and is not psychologically afraid of his opponent. Judging from historical confrontation data, Barcelona has achieved an overwhelming advantage of 22 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses against Vallecano in the last 34 times, with the home winning rate as high as 85%. But it is worth noting that Vallecano has achieved unbeaten record of two wins and one draw against Barcelona in the last three away games, including a 2-1 away victory last season. His quick counterattack tactics have effectively restrained the Barcelona defense line.. In the first round of the season, Barcelona narrowly won 2-1 away, but the process was quite difficult - Vallecano forced Barcelona to make 17 mistakes through high-pressures, and Alvaro Garcia scored first. If Lewandowski scored twice, the result might be unpredictable. These data show that when Barcelona's pass control system faces Vallecano's intensive defense, it often falls into hard battles due to insufficient offensive efficiency, and Vallecano's counterattack quality will directly affect the direction of the game.

The on-the-spot performance of key players may become the winner: in Barcelona, ​​Lewandowski's form is crucial. The Polish striker has contributed 8 league goals this season, and his ability to do goals on his back can effectively crack Vallecano's intensive defense. Vallecano's Sergio Carmelo scored three consecutive rounds recently, and the high center forward's header's success rate (68%) may pose a threat to Barcelona's slightly weak air defense Araujo-Ku-Brazil combination. Injury factors are also worthy of attention. The absence of Barcelona's midfielder Pedri weakened the penetration ability in the ribs, while the injury of Vallecano's main midfielder De Thomas affected the interception hardness of the midfield. Overall, Barcelona's field control advantage will be in sharp contrast with Vallecano's counterattack efficiency, and the game may show a typical situation of Barcelona's siege - Vallecano waiting for an opportunity to counterattack. Based on the tactical characteristics of both sides and their recent status, this game is likely to show a pattern of Barcelona leading the ball control and Vallecano waiting for an opportunity to counterattack. Barcelona is expected to continue the 4-3-3 formation, and through Pedri Gavi Cassado's midfield triangle control rhythm, Lewandowski retreated and scored the side after recoiling, using the wing break between Rafinia and Yamal to create crossing opportunities. Vallecano may adopt a 5-4-1 defensive formation, protecting the top of the penalty area through double midfielders, while wingbacks Carmelo and Le Gená are responsible for limiting Barcelona's crosses from the wing. The key showdown will focus on whether Barcelona's penetration and cooperation in the midfield can tear open Vallecano's dense defense line, and the efficiency of linking between Alvaro Garcia and De Vrutos when the latter counterattacks.

In this game, Pidan is optimistic that Barcelona will play away

Age: 02.03