[5.21 Wednesday lottery] Dong Mo s 8 games preview! With scores, goal prediction!

Hello everyone! I am Dong Mo, who focuses on football events, and I will continue to provide some information today! Thank you for your attention and support!

Today's event analysis:

006 Ligue 1 02:00 Metz vs. Reims

This life-and-death showdown in the Ligue 1 relegation playoff is essentially a head-on confrontation between "home dragon" and "away bug". As the third place in the Ligue 2, Metz has only lost 17 home games this season, with a winning rate of 58.8%. The St. Simforian Stadium can be called the "devil's home court" - it has scored 26 goals in its last 10 home games, averaging 2.6 goals per game, and has remained unbeaten against Lance in the last 5 home games. In contrast, Reims, Ligue 1 has 4 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses away, lost in the last three away games and has not won. He has only scored 9 goals in his last 10 games on the offensive end. Many core shooters such as Darami and Diaconi have suffered injuries, and both offense and defense show fatigue.

From the perspective of tactical games, Metz focuses on a 4-2-3-1 formation, accounting for 28% of the crosses from the wing, and is good at using the speed of winger Diallo to attack the opponent's defense. Lance was forced to use youth training young players due to injury to the defense line. The 5-4-1 defense and counter-system is difficult to use on the away game. The midfield interception success rate is only 58% (the countdown in the league). He may fall into a passive position in the face of Mets' high-pressure pressing. It is worth noting that Metz's offensive efficiency in set pieces (14 goals this season), while Lance's corner kick defense rate reaches 37%, and the air defense ability of the central defender is worrying, which may become the key to breaking the situation.

Injuries and schedule factors further amplify Metz's advantage. In addition to the long-term injury Asolo, Metz's main lineup is complete; Lance lost many main players in the midfield and frontcourt. Although the top scorer Keito Nakamura made a comeback, his condition is doubtful. Buda and Conne played in the back line, and he was forced to fight with the remaining formation. What’s even more disadvantageous is that Reims needs to be distracted by the French Cup final five days later, and his physical reserves and psychological pressure are significantly greater than his opponents.

Institutional movements also point to Metz. William Hill's main winning odds dropped from 2.38 to 2.25, and the Asian session rose from a tie and a half low to a tie and ultra-low low. Mainstream institutions unanimously lowered the risk of main winning claims. The Kelly Index showed that the home win was only 0.92, lower than the draw and away wins, reflecting that the institution is truly optimistic about the home team. Although Betfair data draws 62%, combined with the historical inertia of Mets' unbeaten against Lance 16 times at home, Mets was at least unbeaten in this game, with Mets winning the single-choice Mets.

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Win/Grading

2-1 /1-1 /1-0

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