What to watch in the new season 4: Will the Warriors’ rotation be clearer than last year?

The regular season starts tomorrow, and the Warriors challenge the Lakers away from home.

Due to the impact of many new and old injuries (Melton, Jimmy, Kuminga, Moody, etc.), the purpose of running the lineup through the preseason was defeated, and this matter had to be postponed to the regular season.

The scenes of 12 or even 13-man rotations at the beginning of last season are still vivid in my mind. So how should the Warriors rotate in the new season? Here are some personal guesses.

The first thing to note is:

Considering the age structure of the Warriors, potential minor injuries and rests are inevitable, coupled with the serious bias of most players, and due to Cole's style, the Warriors' rotation variability in the new season will still be very high. However, after Jimmy arrived last season, the starting five of Kuba and Bomu was quite stable. The playoff rotation was basically nine people and the playing time was highly concentrated. This shows that in addition to injuries and other factors, there is indeed little difference between the strength of a certain 1-2 starters and the substitutes.

The starting lineup for the new season

It is not difficult to guess the starting lineup for the opening game. Melton and Moody are confirmed to be absent. Curry + Podger + Jimmy + Dream Chaser + Hufu will most likely start together. So, what about when the lineup is complete? The three of Kuchaiba are fine, and under normal circumstances the cook should start. The only suspense is the starting No. 2 position. The main candidates include Bojie, Moody, Melton, and Hield.

Bojie is comprehensive & the best lubricant;

Moody is practical & can lead the defensive front;

Hield is best without the ball & unpredictable;

Melton is the best lead in defense & is a point guard who can hold the ball;

Theoretically, in addition to chasing Ho, Kuba should increase space attributes, Hield is the most suitable, but considering the defense With the characteristics of two quadrants of shooting, Hield is the least suitable to start among the four; the second best shooter should theoretically be Moody, but Moody's 4-year career, the highest three-pointer is 37.4%, the mentality has been fluctuating greatly. In the preseason, it seems that the shots are a little faster and decisive, and the actual regular season needs to be further observed; neither Bodger nor Melton are good at three-pointers.

Since everyone’s shooting is either good or bad, and it’s just up to the sky, then simply eliminate shooting and look at other things. At this time, the advantages of Melton and Podger are obvious. They can both contribute more to the game. If Melton can return to the level he was before his injury last year, Melton should start; if the recovery is not ideal, Podger should start.

Of course, if Moody really improves his shooting in the new season and can shoot around 40%, with an average output of 2-3 per game, then Moody may not be able to secure a starting position. The lateral movement is not fast enough, and behind him are three masters of replacement rotation: Jimmy + Dream Chaser + Hu Fu; and these three people + Curry are on the court at the same time, the organizational attributes are also seriously overflowed, and whether the fifth man can hold the ball is not so necessary.

The transitional segment lineup

In the past few seasons, what has troubled the Warriors the most is not the starting lineup, but the transitional segment. Although it has improved to a certain extent after Jimmy arrived, the arrangement of the transitional segment in the new season will still change the outcome of the game to a large extent. The connection section must be led by Curry and Jimmy separately. There is nothing to say, so how to match the remaining four positions of Curry's and Jimmy's teams is the key. It might as well become a crossword puzzle.

The general principle is that Curry has the ultimate spatial attributes, which can relatively allow more non-shooters to exist; while Jimmy is used to operating in the low post or breaking through and passing the ball, so he is suitable to match more pitchers.

The first step: Ku Chai is naturally bound, so the cook will be matched with Jimmy;

The second step: Since Jimmy has a cook, Post will be given to Curry, and Green can better help the defense with Post;

The third step: Library Minga and Jimmy have a strong conflict in their playing styles, so Kuminga is given to Curry;

Step 4: Following the general principle, both Hield and Moody are given to Jimmy. Last season, due to the arrival of Jimmy, their production efficiency has improved significantly, then Melton is given to Curry.

In this way, the grouping is completed.

Curry's team: Chasing Dream + Kuminga + Post + Melton

Jimmy's team: Hufu + Bojie + Moody + Hield

There are five people left on the roster, TJD + Payton + Seth + Richard + Santos, check for any omissions and fill the gaps.

Preliminary speculation is that Payton Jr. will be the 11th man because of his familiarity, and Richard is likely to be the 12th man. Even on certain nights when there is a shortage of manpower, it is not surprising that Richard becomes the starter. As for whether he can really squeeze out his seniors, it depends on whether he can become familiar with the team's tactics as soon as possible.

After all, the above are all static analysis, and the greatest charm of competitive sports is that it is always in dynamic change.

New season, new hope, wait and see and cherish.