The Spurs double lottery draw attracted imagination: Choose potential rookies to train, or is it Saha s Antetokounmpo gamble to compete for the championship?

The most surprising thing on the lottery night was not the Mavericks' 1.8% chance of winning the No. 1 pick (Fragrance is too good after all), but the Spurs - they won the No. 14 draw with an extremely low probability, and they also held the No. 14 draw from the Hawks. These two lottery draws are like a "double-edged sword", which put the Spurs at the crossroads of reconstruction: Should we continue to cultivate "GDP-style" long-term, or replicate the 2014 "Leonard + Duncan" model, and bet on Antetokounmpo to form the three giants?

Spurs' "double lottery draw": From the "Lotto mid-section" to the "No. 14" counterattack

draw, Spurs fans were still discussing the "anti-god" Cohen Knuppel in the middle of the Lotto mid-section - this kid had 38.9% of three-pointers (75 shots in 193), adapting to the Spurs' "space-type forward guard". But as soon as the second pick was obtained, Knuper instantly "did not be good", and the focus turned to the two second picks: Harper (son of Ron Harper) and Ace Bailey.

Harper: All-round defender, but the Spurs back line is "too crowded"

Harper is a "second-generation ball", with a bare foot of 194cm and a wingspan of 209cm (the top five in the joint trial dynamic test, 3.16 seconds in 3/4, second in the same class). He is like the "Winnered Organizational Harden", with a left-handed player and a heavy-duty figure, with a 33.3% size in size, and an offense and defense.

But the Spurs' back line is "overwhelmed" - Wassell, who just renewed his contract last year (average salary of nearly 30 million), plus Fox and Paul, and then choose Harper, Wassell may become the fourth choice; what's more troublesome is that Harper, Fox and Paul all "hold the ball more than not the ball", and the distribution of ball rights may become a hidden danger.

Belley: The talent of the front line exploded, but the "height thunder" caused controversy

Belley was once yelled "208cm supermodel static", and the joint trial test was only 202cm (small forward size). But the dynamic talent still exploded: 3.12 seconds in 3/4 sprint (first in the same class), the top six in four dynamic tests. His skills are rough, but he can strengthen the Spurs' forward line and form a "dynamic double tower" with Wenban Yama, and his offense and defense in the penalty area are directly full.

Trade Antetokounmpo: Betting on the championship, or "drinking poison to quench thirst"?

In addition to choosing rookies, the Spurs have more "crazy" options - trading Antetokounmpo, forming the three giants "Wenban + Antetokounmpo + Fox". Are there enough chips

? US media simulation: The Spurs used the second pick + Castle + Sohan + Wassel + other first round picks to exchange Antetokounmpo. Compared with the Rockets (Green + Smith + Shepard + 4 first rounds), the Spurs' chips are more sincere. Is

suitable? Antetokounmpo's playoffs this year was 33 points, 15.4 rebounds, 6.6 assists, and a complete offense and defense. He formed a "double DPOY level" double tower with the literary team, and was invincible in the offense and defense in the penalty area. With Fox's pick-and-roll launch and Barnes and others' shooting, the top three in the West District should be stable. What about

risks? Is Antetokounmpo willing to be the "second leader"? The literary class is the absolute core, and Antetokounmpo needs to adjust its positioning; overdraw future assets and the luxury tax surge; the training of young players such as the literary class may stagnate.

Next season lineup prospects: Choose rookies or trades, the two paths are very different

Path 1: Choose rookies (Harper/Bayley) - Continue "cultivating culture"

Starting may be: Fox + Castle + Wenban + Barnes + Harper/Bayley. Substitutes: Vassel, Sohan, KJ, etc. The veteran (CP3 contract expires) and the substitute guard (the No. 14 sign can be bet on South Sudan center Kaman Maruac).

Advantages: retain future draft picks and continue the tradition of "long-term training" (similar to GDP); disadvantages: the upper limit of rookies is unknown (refer to the case of "declining after signing" for rookies such as Sohan), and the championship cycle is extended.

Path 2: Trading Antetokounmpo - A big bet "Win in the present"

First: Fox + KJ + Barnes + Antetokounmpo + Wenban. The substitute depth has weakened, and relying on the deterrence of the Big Three to hit the top three in the West.

Advantages: Open the window for championships directly (Antetokounmpo + "two towers" dominance in the literary class); disadvantages: overdrawing the future, the explosion of luxury tax, and the stagnation of young players (if you are not careful, you become "fishing in Heze").

The Spurs' "starting point for revival" or "a good card game"?

The Spurs' second pick, like the "Destiny Sign" chosen by Duncan in 1997 - if you choose the right one, you may start a new dynasty; if you choose the wrong one, you may waste the peak of the Wenban.

Fox's contract renewal (229 million yuan in 4 years, will the small ball market dare to give it?) and Wenban's health (recovery of right shoulder thrombosis) will all affect decision-making. But whether you choose rookies or trade Antetokounmpo for Saha, every step of the Spurs this summer will reshape the league structure.