The Cavaliers win G3 to change the trend of the series? US media predicts the probability of the Cavaliers advancing 71%, and the Indian City leads to be detrimental

On May 10, in the second round of the NBA playoffs, the Cavaliers defeated the Pacers 126-104, and the score was 1-2. In this game, the Cavaliers' Garland, Mobley and Hunter all made a comeback. In this game, the Cavaliers suppressed the Pacers from the beginning. Although the Pacers cleared the 15-point gap in the first quarter, the Pacers collapsed directly in the second quarter, and Carlisle surrendered early in the final quarter. It seems that this game has changed the trend of the series, but the probability of the Cavaliers 1-2 promotion is as high as 71%.

The Cavaliers had an 11-0 offensive at the beginning. They once led the Pacers to as many as 15 points. They originally thought that the Pacers were about to collapse at home. Carlisle ignited the team after the timeout. First, Turner scored 10 points in a row to support the offense and defense, then Mathering scored 8 points in a row and Shepard scored two three-pointers. The Pacers' second lineup exploded. After the first quarter, the Pacers easily smoothed out the disadvantage of 15 points. The two teams tied 32-32.

The two teams were still on the same level at the beginning of the quarter, but the Cavaliers suddenly got into the defensive intensity. The Cavaliers were 19-6, and the Pacers only scored 6 points in half the quarter. After Carlisle's timeout, the Pacers changed their offensive strategy. They reduced their three-point shots and started to break through continuously. The Cavaliers still combined with sudden shots. Mitchell began to tear the Pacers' defense line at this point. Mitchell scored 11 points, 4 rebounds and 2 assists in a single quarter. After the half-time, the Cavaliers had 4 players in double-digit leads by as much as 21 points.

The Pacers stopped Atkinson twice, and they narrowed the 24-point gap to 18 points. However, Atkinson's two timeouts were effective. After the Cavaliers opened to 22 points again, McCon made both free throws. In the second half of the third quarter, the Pacers had various free throws. The Pacers had already surpassed the Cavaliers. After the Cavaliers played 18 points in the third quarter, Mitchell had scored 29 points in the third quarter, but the Pacers still could not limit the Mid-ball.

Sica scored 10 points in three minutes in a row to help the Pacers narrowed to 11 points in a wave of 14-7. It was still based on Mitchell's personal explosion and responded to the Pacers 8-2. Mitchell was too fierce. He broke through and scored consecutively, and with his own strength, widening the gap to 20+ again. The away fans had completely lost their arrogance, and the Cavaliers bench was already boiling. Carlisle took the lead in replacing the main player and giving up the game.

Full game, Mitchell scored 43 points, 9 rebounds and 5 assists, Garland scored 10 points and 3 assists, Mobley scored 18 points and 13 rebounds, Allen scored 19 points and 11 rebounds, and Struz scored 20 points, 7 rebounds and 7 assists. Sika scored 18 points on the Pacers, Halliburton scored 4 points and 5 assists (2 of 8 shots), Turner scored 15 points, Nembhard scored 10 points, and Mathering scored 23 points.

The trend of this series has changed after G3. According to the prediction of the data media Polymarket, the probability of the Cavaliers 4-2 promotion is 37%, and the probability of the Cavaliers 4-3 promotion is 34%. In other words, the probability of the Cavaliers 4-3 promotion has increased to 71%.

The probability of 4-2 knights on the Pacers is 13%, the probability of 4-3 knights on the Pacers is 11%, and the probability of 4-1 knights on the Pacers is 5%.

Text/Yan Xiaobai: Knight Observation