289 Sports > Basketball > Probability of each team to win the top four picks: The Rockets get another super talent? The Spurs may trade to chase two super giants
Probability of each team to win the top four picks: The Rockets get another super talent? The Spurs may trade to chase two super giants
On May 11, with the deepening of the NBA playoffs, there are only 8 teams in the league that are still fighting for the championship. Other teams are looking at the offseason. Some rebuilding teams will focus on the draft. After all, it is difficult for them to introduce super stars. Some teams will focus on the free market and try to introduce big-name stars. Some teams may use draft picks to get stars. Next, let’s take a look at the teams that are expected to win the top four picks. The probability of the three teams exceeding 52%
The Jazz, Wizards and Hornets have a 52% chance of winning the top four picks, and they still have a 14% chance of getting the No. 1 pick. If the Jazz can win the No. 1 pick, they can complete the reconstruction immediately. After all, the team has a good lineup configuration. The team has stars like Markanen, big gates like Kessler, and excellent puzzles such as Clarkson, Collins and Sexton, as well as young talents like Collier and George. If the Jazz win Flag, they will immediately chase the record.
If the Wizards can win the No. 1 pick, they will also choose Flag. It can be said that as long as nothing unexpected happens, Flag is the No. 1 pick in this class. If they can't win the No. 1 pick, they will choose Harper. After all, he is the best big core of the ball holding this class, similar to Harden. The Hornets' first choice will also be Flag, but if they don't get Flag, they may choose a No. 2 position with excellent offensive ability. After all, they have three goals in No. 1 position. Edgecom template Wade, excellent offensive ability is a good choice.
The three teams are more than 30%

The Pelicans have a 48% chance of getting the top four pick, and the probability of getting the No. 1 pick is 12.5%. The news now is that the Pelicans intend to let Zion draw the lottery. If they really win the draw of his junior Flag in Duke, then Zion is ready to leave. After all, the Pelicans have long wanted to trade him, and even said that they would win Harper or several other players with cornerstone potential, they would send Zion away. After all, the team can quickly complete the reconstruction, and the team has too many top talents and instant combat power.
The probability of 76ers getting the top four picks is 42.1%, and the probability of getting the top four picks is 10.5%. If 76ers getting the top four picks, I don’t know whether he would choose to trade George and Embiid to complete the reconstruction. However, if the one who won the top two picks is not the top two picks, the 76ers may be used for trading. After all, they may still hope to continue building a team around Embiid. Even if Embiid suffered a serious injury, it is hard to say whether he can recover from his peak.

The probability of the Nets getting the top four picks is 37.2%, and the probability of getting the top pick is 9%. If the Nets want to complete the reconstruction quickly, they have a way. This team has multiple draft picks in 25 years. The team can be used to trade and introduce stars or top young talents. They have a salary space of 60 million and can choose to give some outstanding players. If they win the top four picks, no matter who they get, as long as the Nets want to continue to rebuild, they will keep themselves in training.
The Raptors have a top four pick with a probability of 31.9%, and the probability of getting the No. 1 pick is 7.5%. The Raptors now have a group of outstanding players. They have Barrett, Barnes, Quickley and Ingram. The team looks like they are just one top inside talent, but most of the inside talent this season are out of the top four. They can directly choose to win, or choose to trade their first round picks down to introduce potential inside, which can also be used for trading.
The third team is more than 15%

The Spurs have a top four pick and a top pick and a 6% chance of getting the top pick and a top pick. The Spurs now have nothing but a top pick and a top pick. If they can't get Flag, they may use this high pick to introduce suitable stars, because the Hawks' first round pick is still in the hands of the Spurs, and the probability of getting the top four pick is 3.4% and the top pick and a top pick is 0.7%. Although the probability is very low, it is good to use the two first rounds to trade. They are interested in getting Durant or Antetokounmpo this summer.
The Rockets' chance of getting the top four pick is 17.3%, and the probability of getting the No. 1 pick is 3.8%. Unless they win Flag or Harper, the Rockets are likely to not keep this first-round pick. They may trade with the Suns to get Durant. After all, this first-round pick is from the Suns. If they really get the two we are talking about, the Rockets will continue to build a team around their young core and the team's talent will be further improved.

The probability of the Trail Blazers getting the top four pick is 16.9%, and the probability of the No. 1 pick is 3.7%. To be honest, the Trail Blazers have taken a solid step on the road to reconstruction. They have a tough and defensive-based winning culture. The team is short of a top young cornerstone. If they don't get the top four picks, the Trail Blazers may choose to trade upward to get a suitable high pick talent. As for other teams, the Mavericks have an 8.5% chance of winning the top four picks, and the Bulls have an 8% chance of winning the top four picks.
Speaking of this, what do you want to say about these teams? Welcome to leave a message for discussion.
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